I think the main criteria is when the general public can buy the book, , and if I get it right, pre-orders don't count (last year's nomination thread). So that would make The Old World a 2026 release.
And for the list:
Mongoose Publishing's Pioneer RPG should be out next year (Kickstarter)...
Man, you bench more than I was deadlifting and squatting even when I still considered myself fit! I feel like a low-level guard meeting the veteran adventuring party😄
In an unexpected turn of events, Mongoose has just posted new on their Facebook page that there will be a 5e-based version of Traveller, developed by World's Largest RPG in cooperation with Mongoose: